Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.275460 1.539804 1.867237 2.310699 2.908663 3.707137 4.890763e+00
2025-01-19 0.897376 1.190848 1.607416 2.270982 3.363710 5.226818 9.021500e+00
2025-01-26 0.748313 1.062970 1.557341 2.454119 4.213063 8.023854 1.922709e+01
2025-02-02 0.644274 0.961733 1.499936 2.582188 5.047296 11.758066 4.182724e+01
2025-02-09 0.554239 0.856833 1.398760 2.576432 5.600455 15.677223 8.708311e+01
2025-02-16 0.479648 0.760849 1.285502 2.495931 5.921247 19.571647 1.801920e+02
2025-02-23 0.434947 0.708541 1.241373 2.552705 6.695195 27.310307 5.967199e+02
2025-03-02 0.403226 0.673865 1.223432 2.666622 7.788703 40.937496 5.203805e+03
2025-03-09 0.369715 0.629873 1.175269 2.682284 8.569273 57.144043 2.225194e+06
2025-03-16 0.333938 0.576093 1.094483 2.576552 8.765413 70.288607 NaN
2025-03-23 0.316220 0.556240 1.087192 2.690293 10.171810 115.746366 NaN
2025-03-30 0.296130 0.528619 1.055956 2.717490 11.210641 178.625310 NaN
2025-04-06 0.272451 0.491164 0.995709 2.632626 11.559552 242.475204 NaN
2025-04-13 0.253053 0.460899 0.948946 2.582362 12.145735 359.812043 NaN
2025-04-20 0.246478 0.457858 0.971539 2.800017 15.211523 1147.722357 NaN
2025-04-27 0.237669 0.448622 0.975931 2.953106 18.284318 5102.281375 NaN
2025-05-04 0.224504 0.427843 0.944827 2.946183 19.857058 22732.641655 NaN
2025-05-11 0.210037 0.402588 0.897205 2.849831 20.271169 106938.567832 NaN
2025-05-18 0.201569 0.390641 0.886024 2.917759 23.153709 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.195474 0.383696 0.888368 3.054351 27.832100 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.187006 0.370120 0.868543 3.073161 30.860426 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.176028 0.349432 0.824000 2.946321 30.689862 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.171507 0.344368 0.827474 3.082782 37.279267 NaN NaN